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Posted inPre-Market Briefing, Daily Analysis, Economy, Markets, Sector -- Energy

Hormuz blockade, April 13, 2026: what the US naval blockade actually means — mechanics, oil market math, and why $120 Brent is Goldman’s Q3 base case

Factor Ceasefire (Apr 7–12) Blockade (Apr 13+) Hormuz traffic IRGC coordination required; minimal transits IRGC + US Navy both active in lanes Iranian ports Open in principle; tankers cautious Formally blockaded effective 10 AM ET Non-Iranian Gulf ports Open; risk-assessed by operators Formally exempt from blockade WTI crude $94.41 (post-ceasefire crash) $104.38 (+8.1% overnight) Market […]

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